LIF
Life360, Inc.Pre-market42.55−1.28 −2.92%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delay
Open
43.29
Prev close
43.83
Day range
42.4643.68
52-week range
37.01101.58
Volume
626.90K0.86×
Mkt cap
3.47B
P/E ttm
24.74
Fwd P/E
23.84
EPS ttm
1.72
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Nov 9, 2026
From 52w high
−58.11%
LIF market-implied price distribution
LIF Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 74.2%
Days to expiry
37
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 42.55
Expected price
42.80
forward 43.01
68% range
32–53
−24.4% / +23.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 25.71 | −39.6% |
| 16% | 32.17 | −24.4% |
| 25% | 35.66 | −16.2% |
| 50% (median) | 42.21 | −0.8% |
| 75% | 48.92 | +15.0% |
| 84% | 52.54 | +23.5% |
| 95% | 62.33 | +46.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (44.68) | 40% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (46.81) | 32% |
| Down 5% or more (40.42) | 43% |
| Down 10% or more (38.30) | 34% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 34%, 1.0× the 36% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.