LFUS
Littelfuse, Inc.After hours415.03+1.19 +0.29%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 415.03 0.00%
Open
405.78
Prev close
413.84
Day range
403.33415.89
52-week range
233.36500.57
Volume
174.16K0.67×
Mkt cap
10.54B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
20.58
EPS ttm
-0.5000
Div yield
0.77%
Earnings
Jul 29, 2026
From 52w high
−17.09%
LFUS market-implied price distribution
LFUS Price at Expiry
36 OTM quotes · ATM IV 48.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 415.03
Expected price
426.28
forward 416.18
68% range
358–475
−13.7% / +14.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 273.43 | −34.1% |
| 16% | 358.10 | −13.7% |
| 25% | 378.31 | −8.8% |
| 50% (median) | 413.27 | −0.4% |
| 75% | 450.80 | +8.6% |
| 84% | 475.45 | +14.6% |
| 95% | 700.01 | +68.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (435.78) | 33% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (456.53) | 22% |
| Down 5% or more (394.28) | 35% |
| Down 10% or more (373.53) | 22% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 22%, 0.8× the 27% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.