LDOS
Leidos Holdings, Inc.Pre-market121.60−0.08 −0.07%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delay
Open
122.45
Prev close
121.68
Day range
120.67123.15
52-week range
98.86205.77
Volume
643.47K0.47×
Mkt cap
15.26B
P/E ttm
11.34
Fwd P/E
9.64
EPS ttm
10.72
Div yield
1.41%
Earnings
Nov 3, 2026
From 52w high
−40.90%
LDOS market-implied price distribution
LDOS Price at Expiry
30 OTM quotes · ATM IV 30.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
39%
spot 121.60
Expected price
119.48
forward 119.92
68% range
107–131
−11.8% / +8.0%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 98.53 | −19.0% |
| 16% | 107.30 | −11.8% |
| 25% | 111.00 | −8.7% |
| 50% (median) | 118.49 | −2.6% |
| 75% | 126.68 | +4.2% |
| 84% | 131.29 | +8.0% |
| 95% | 143.71 | +18.2% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (127.68) | 23% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (133.76) | 13% |
| Down 5% or more (115.52) | 39% |
| Down 10% or more (109.44) | 21% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 21%, 1.1× the 19% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.