KROP
Global X AgTech & Food InnovatiClosed35.56+0.54 +1.54%USD
NasdaqGM · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delay
Open
35.17
Prev close
35.02
Day range
35.1635.56
52-week range
29.0539.99
Volume
1.07K0.13×
P/E ttm
21.12
EPS ttm
1.68
Div yield
2.09%
From 52w high
−11.08%
KROP market-implied price distribution
KROP Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 44.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
55%
spot 35.56
Expected price
35.05
forward 35.71
68% range
29–40
−17.3% / +13.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 23.18 | −34.8% |
| 16% | 29.41 | −17.3% |
| 25% | 32.35 | −9.0% |
| 50% (median) | 36.22 | +1.9% |
| 75% | 39.02 | +9.7% |
| 84% | 40.20 | +13.1% |
| 95% | 42.55 | +19.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (37.34) | 40% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (39.11) | 24% |
| Down 5% or more (33.78) | 32% |
| Down 10% or more (32.00) | 24% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 24%, 1.0× the 24% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.