KOF
Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V.Pre-market114.04+4.18 +3.80%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delay
Open
109.89
Prev close
109.86
Day range
109.66114.27
52-week range
80.22117.09
Volume
142.62K1.08×
Mkt cap
—
P/E ttm
144.35
Fwd P/E
14.44
EPS ttm
0.7900
Div yield
3.79%
Earnings
Oct 27, 2026
From 52w high
−2.60%
KOF market-implied price distribution
KOF Price at Expiry
10 OTM quotes · ATM IV 15.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
63%
spot 114.04
Expected price
110.87
forward 114.02
68% range
98–121
−14.0% / +5.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 71.39 | −37.4% |
| 16% | 98.07 | −14.0% |
| 25% | 110.14 | −3.4% |
| 50% (median) | 116.18 | +1.9% |
| 75% | 119.38 | +4.7% |
| 84% | 120.78 | +5.9% |
| 95% | 126.26 | +10.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (119.74) | 22% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (125.44) | 5.4% |
| Down 5% or more (108.34) | 22% |
| Down 10% or more (102.64) | 17% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 17%, 10.6× the 1.7% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.