KOD
Kodiak Sciences IncAfter hours91.63−7.63 −7.69%USD
NasdaqGM · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 92.00 +0.40%
Open
99.06
Prev close
99.26
Day range
91.3099.55
52-week range
10.94104.00
Volume
1.54M0.96×
Mkt cap
5.76B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-26.67
EPS ttm
-4.19
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
—
From 52w high
−11.89%
KOD market-implied price distribution
KOD Price at Expiry
22 OTM quotes · ATM IV 67.3%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 91.63
Expected price
92.87
forward 92.58
68% range
74–111
−19.8% / +21.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 51.91 | −43.3% |
| 16% | 73.51 | −19.8% |
| 25% | 79.49 | −13.2% |
| 50% (median) | 90.73 | −1.0% |
| 75% | 103.26 | +12.7% |
| 84% | 111.15 | +21.3% |
| 95% | 144.24 | +57.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (96.21) | 38% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (100.79) | 29% |
| Down 5% or more (87.05) | 41% |
| Down 10% or more (82.47) | 31% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 31%, 0.9× the 34% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.