KGC
Kinross Gold CorporationPre-market23.55−0.19 −0.80%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delayPre-market 23.87 +1.36%
Open
23.40
Prev close
23.74
Day range
23.2723.61
52-week range
22.0139.11
Volume
3.78M0.48×
Mkt cap
27.94B
P/E ttm
8.95
Fwd P/E
8.39
EPS ttm
2.63
Div yield
0.68%
Earnings
Oct 28, 2026
From 52w high
−39.79%
KGC market-implied price distribution
KGC Price at Expiry
14 OTM quotes · ATM IV 57.5%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
51%
spot 23.55
Expected price
23.68
forward 23.68
68% range
20–27
−14.6% / +14.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 17.99 | −23.6% |
| 16% | 20.10 | −14.6% |
| 25% | 21.20 | −10.0% |
| 50% (median) | 23.62 | +0.3% |
| 75% | 26.09 | +10.8% |
| 84% | 27.04 | +14.8% |
| 95% | 29.56 | +25.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (24.73) | 38% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (25.91) | 27% |
| Down 5% or more (22.37) | 37% |
| Down 10% or more (21.20) | 25% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 25%, 0.9× the 28% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.