KEN
Kenon Holdings Ltd.Open63.43+2.17 +3.53%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 15:35 ET · 20m delay
Open
64.00
Prev close
61.26
Day range
63.3064.20
52-week range
47.6295.93
Volume
9.47K0.55×
Mkt cap
—
P/E ttm
27.70
Fwd P/E
—
EPS ttm
2.29
Div yield
6.28%
Earnings
Sep 8, 2026
From 52w high
−33.88%
KEN market-implied price distribution
KEN Price at Expiry
13 OTM quotes · ATM IV 108.3%
Days to expiry
3
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
P(finish above spot)
56%
spot 63.43
Expected price
62.57
forward 64.31
68% range
58–68
−8.6% / +8.0%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 41.93 | −33.9% |
| 16% | 57.99 | −8.6% |
| 25% | 60.62 | −4.4% |
| 50% (median) | 64.07 | +1.0% |
| 75% | 66.98 | +5.6% |
| 84% | 68.49 | +8.0% |
| 95% | 72.47 | +14.3% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (66.60) | 28% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (69.77) | 11% |
| Down 5% or more (60.25) | 23% |
| Down 10% or more (57.08) | 14% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 14%, 1.2× the 12% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.