JJSF
J & J Snack Foods Corp.Open80.90+0.61 +0.76%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 14:48 ET · 15m delay
Open
80.93
Prev close
80.29
Day range
79.1481.28
52-week range
68.8798.63
Volume
138.93K0.64×
Mkt cap
1.51B
P/E ttm
31.36
Fwd P/E
18.73
EPS ttm
2.58
Div yield
3.98%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−17.98%
JJSF market-implied price distribution
JJSF Price at Expiry
12 OTM quotes · ATM IV 28.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
52%
spot 80.90
Expected price
83.68
forward 81.24
68% range
76–89
−6.5% / +9.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 70.62 | −12.7% |
| 16% | 75.65 | −6.5% |
| 25% | 77.53 | −4.2% |
| 50% (median) | 81.13 | +0.3% |
| 75% | 85.44 | +5.6% |
| 84% | 88.75 | +9.7% |
| 95% | 115.41 | +42.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (84.95) | 27% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (88.99) | 16% |
| Down 5% or more (76.86) | 21% |
| Down 10% or more (72.81) | 8.1% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 8.1%, 0.6× the 13% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.