JBHT
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, IPre-market228.31−0.95 −0.41%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 15m delay
Open
229.41
Prev close
229.26
Day range
227.74230.58
52-week range
136.51299.76
Volume
766.17K0.75×
Mkt cap
21.44B
P/E ttm
32.34
Fwd P/E
23.07
EPS ttm
7.06
Div yield
0.79%
Earnings
Oct 15, 2026
From 52w high
−23.84%
JBHT market-implied price distribution
JBHT Price at Expiry
29 OTM quotes · ATM IV 39.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 228.31
Expected price
228.25
forward 228.74
68% range
201–253
−11.8% / +10.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 173.36 | −24.1% |
| 16% | 201.28 | −11.8% |
| 25% | 209.97 | −8.0% |
| 50% (median) | 226.30 | −0.9% |
| 75% | 243.38 | +6.6% |
| 84% | 252.90 | +10.8% |
| 95% | 280.05 | +22.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (239.73) | 29% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (251.14) | 17% |
| Down 5% or more (216.89) | 35% |
| Down 10% or more (205.48) | 20% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 20%, 0.9× the 22% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.