IVZ
Invesco LtdPre-market29.26−0.25 −0.85%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:02 ET · 20m delayPre-market 29.29 +0.10%
Open
29.51
Prev close
29.51
Day range
29.0829.63
52-week range
20.6733.66
Volume
5.00M1.11×
Mkt cap
12.92B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
8.96
EPS ttm
-0.6800
Div yield
2.94%
Earnings
Oct 27, 2026
From 52w high
−13.07%
IVZ market-implied price distribution
IVZ Price at Expiry
13 OTM quotes · ATM IV 36.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
51%
spot 29.26
Expected price
29.28
forward 29.42
68% range
26–33
−11.7% / +11.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 21.57 | −26.3% |
| 16% | 25.83 | −11.7% |
| 25% | 27.23 | −7.0% |
| 50% (median) | 29.34 | +0.3% |
| 75% | 31.36 | +7.2% |
| 84% | 32.55 | +11.2% |
| 95% | 36.88 | +26.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (30.72) | 32% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (32.19) | 18% |
| Down 5% or more (27.80) | 30% |
| Down 10% or more (26.33) | 19% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 19%, 1.0× the 19% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.