ITT
ITT Inc.Open200.72−1.18 −0.58%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 10:18 ET · 20m delay
Open
201.58
Prev close
201.90
Day range
200.30201.57
52-week range
166.96230.32
Volume
53.30K0.06×
Mkt cap
—
P/E ttm
39.28
Fwd P/E
20.89
EPS ttm
5.11
Div yield
0.76%
Earnings
Aug 6, 2026
From 52w high
−12.85%
ITT market-implied price distribution
ITT Price at Expiry
13 OTM quotes · ATM IV 35.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
51%
spot 200.74
Expected price
201.25
forward 201.96
68% range
177–224
−11.6% / +11.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 157.75 | −21.4% |
| 16% | 177.40 | −11.6% |
| 25% | 185.82 | −7.4% |
| 50% (median) | 201.29 | +0.3% |
| 75% | 216.25 | +7.7% |
| 84% | 223.81 | +11.5% |
| 95% | 241.85 | +20.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (210.77) | 33% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (220.81) | 19% |
| Down 5% or more (190.70) | 32% |
| Down 10% or more (180.66) | 19% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 19%, 1.0× the 18% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.