IPAR
Interparfums, Inc.Open112.48+0.14 +0.13%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 10:18 ET · 15m delay
Open
113.52
Prev close
112.33
Day range
111.72113.52
52-week range
77.21129.29
Volume
25.21K0.11×
Mkt cap
3.60B
P/E ttm
21.46
Fwd P/E
21.62
EPS ttm
5.24
Div yield
2.84%
Earnings
Aug 4, 2026
From 52w high
−13.01%
IPAR market-implied price distribution
IPAR Price at Expiry
21 OTM quotes · ATM IV 34.0%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 112.48
Expected price
115.89
forward 112.59
68% range
103–124
−8.7% / +10.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 94.60 | −15.9% |
| 16% | 102.66 | −8.7% |
| 25% | 105.79 | −5.9% |
| 50% (median) | 111.93 | −0.5% |
| 75% | 119.23 | +6.0% |
| 84% | 124.43 | +10.6% |
| 95% | 169.37 | +50.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (118.10) | 28% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (123.72) | 17% |
| Down 5% or more (106.85) | 29% |
| Down 10% or more (101.23) | 13% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 13%, 0.7× the 18% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.