INSW
International Seaways, Inc.Open124.56+0.34 +0.27%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 14:46 ET · 20m delay
Open
123.26
Prev close
124.22
Day range
122.65125.35
52-week range
42.26125.40
Volume
245.08K0.39×
Mkt cap
6.17B
P/E ttm
7.96
Fwd P/E
13.02
EPS ttm
15.64
Div yield
6.59%
Earnings
Aug 10, 2026
From 52w high
−0.67%
INSW market-implied price distribution
INSW Price at Expiry
16 OTM quotes · ATM IV 52.3%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 124.56
Expected price
124.50
forward 124.94
68% range
105–145
−15.4% / +16.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 86.66 | −30.4% |
| 16% | 105.44 | −15.4% |
| 25% | 111.68 | −10.3% |
| 50% (median) | 123.71 | −0.7% |
| 75% | 136.88 | +9.9% |
| 84% | 144.80 | +16.2% |
| 95% | 164.78 | +32.3% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (130.79) | 35% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (137.01) | 25% |
| Down 5% or more (118.33) | 38% |
| Down 10% or more (112.10) | 26% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 26%, 0.9× the 29% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.