ING
ING Group, N.V.Pre-market33.39+0.02 +0.06%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delayPre-market 33.94 +1.65%
Open
33.40
Prev close
33.37
Day range
33.3933.60
52-week range
23.6437.52
Volume
2.21M1.02×
Mkt cap
94.36B
P/E ttm
12.51
Fwd P/E
9.97
EPS ttm
2.67
Div yield
3.96%
Earnings
Oct 29, 2026
From 52w high
−11.01%
ING market-implied price distribution
ING Price at Expiry
14 OTM quotes · ATM IV 35.0%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
61%
spot 33.39
Expected price
33.86
forward 34.19
68% range
30–37
−11.5% / +12.0%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 26.22 | −21.5% |
| 16% | 29.56 | −11.5% |
| 25% | 31.71 | −5.0% |
| 50% (median) | 34.37 | +2.9% |
| 75% | 36.41 | +9.1% |
| 84% | 37.39 | +12.0% |
| 95% | 39.85 | +19.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (35.06) | 41% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (36.73) | 22% |
| Down 5% or more (31.72) | 25% |
| Down 10% or more (30.05) | 17% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 17%, 1.2× the 14% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.