INDV
Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Open35.32−0.74 −2.05%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 15:50 ET · 15m delay
Open
36.09
Prev close
36.06
Day range
35.2236.25
52-week range
23.6742.81
Volume
1.03M0.46×
Mkt cap
4.17B
P/E ttm
12.66
Fwd P/E
7.23
EPS ttm
2.79
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 3, 2026
From 52w high
−17.50%
INDV market-implied price distribution
INDV Price at Expiry
24 OTM quotes · ATM IV 50.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
55%
spot 35.32
Expected price
36.57
forward 36.38
68% range
30–42
−16.1% / +19.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 18.28 | −48.2% |
| 16% | 29.62 | −16.1% |
| 25% | 32.20 | −8.8% |
| 50% (median) | 36.00 | +1.9% |
| 75% | 39.75 | +12.5% |
| 84% | 42.12 | +19.2% |
| 95% | 60.41 | +71.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (37.09) | 42% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (38.85) | 30% |
| Down 5% or more (33.55) | 32% |
| Down 10% or more (31.79) | 23% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 23%, 1.0× the 23% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.