IESC
IES Holdings, Inc.Open274.63−13.16 −4.57%USD
NasdaqGM · as of Oct 13, 11:48 ET · 15m delay
Open
282.00
Prev close
287.79
Day range
272.95288.63
52-week range
170.07408.26
Volume
78.16K0.24×
Mkt cap
11.65B
P/E ttm
24.41
Fwd P/E
—
EPS ttm
11.25
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Jul 31, 2026
From 52w high
−32.73%
IESC market-implied price distribution
IESC Price at Expiry
24 OTM quotes · ATM IV 72.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 274.63
Expected price
283.72
forward 282.14
68% range
221–341
−19.7% / +24.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 180.24 | −34.4% |
| 16% | 220.63 | −19.7% |
| 25% | 237.51 | −13.5% |
| 50% (median) | 273.77 | −0.3% |
| 75% | 316.16 | +15.1% |
| 84% | 341.14 | +24.2% |
| 95% | 418.02 | +52.2% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (288.36) | 40% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (302.09) | 32% |
| Down 5% or more (260.90) | 41% |
| Down 10% or more (247.17) | 31% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 31%, 1.0× the 33% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.