IDA
IDACORP, Inc.Open135.71−0.66 −0.48%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 11:50 ET · 20m delay
Open
137.03
Prev close
136.37
Day range
134.72136.96
52-week range
124.12154.91
Volume
66.77K0.12×
Mkt cap
7.85B
P/E ttm
22.51
Fwd P/E
19.52
EPS ttm
6.03
Div yield
2.58%
Earnings
Jul 30, 2026
From 52w high
−12.39%
IDA market-implied price distribution
IDA Price at Expiry
15 OTM quotes · ATM IV 24.8%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
51%
spot 135.71
Expected price
134.76
forward 135.92
68% range
125–146
−7.8% / +7.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 83.85 | −38.2% |
| 16% | 125.10 | −7.8% |
| 25% | 129.38 | −4.7% |
| 50% (median) | 136.05 | +0.2% |
| 75% | 142.42 | +4.9% |
| 84% | 146.16 | +7.7% |
| 95% | 165.48 | +21.9% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (142.50) | 25% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (149.28) | 12% |
| Down 5% or more (128.92) | 24% |
| Down 10% or more (122.14) | 12% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 12%, 1.3× the 9.8% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.