ICUI
ICU Medical, Inc.Open164.15+0.24 +0.15%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 13:41 ET · 15m delay
Open
165.16
Prev close
163.91
Day range
162.99167.02
52-week range
113.37192.85
Volume
82.31K0.30×
Mkt cap
4.10B
P/E ttm
137.94
Fwd P/E
17.02
EPS ttm
1.19
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 6, 2026
From 52w high
−14.88%
ICUI market-implied price distribution
ICUI Price at Expiry
15 OTM quotes · ATM IV 41.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
26%
spot 164.15
Expected price
157.67
forward 154.89
68% range
137–181
−16.5% / +10.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 121.38 | −26.1% |
| 16% | 137.07 | −16.5% |
| 25% | 141.87 | −13.6% |
| 50% (median) | 151.50 | −7.7% |
| 75% | 165.46 | +0.8% |
| 84% | 180.80 | +10.1% |
| 95% | 221.32 | +34.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (172.36) | 20% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (180.57) | 16% |
| Down 5% or more (155.94) | 60% |
| Down 10% or more (147.74) | 40% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 40%, 1.0× the 39% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.