HVT
Haverty Furniture Companies, InClosed27.97+0.55 +2.01%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 27.97 0.00%
Open
27.66
Prev close
27.42
Day range
27.5228.06
52-week range
20.0029.83
Volume
105.87K0.84×
Mkt cap
436.15M
P/E ttm
20.42
Fwd P/E
10.66
EPS ttm
1.37
Div yield
4.81%
Earnings
Aug 4, 2026
From 52w high
−6.24%
HVT market-implied price distribution
HVT Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 40.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
67%
spot 27.97
Expected price
29.51
forward 28.09
68% range
27–31
−4.2% / +12.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 24.89 | −11.0% |
| 16% | 26.79 | −4.2% |
| 25% | 27.50 | −1.7% |
| 50% (median) | 28.80 | +3.0% |
| 75% | 30.26 | +8.2% |
| 84% | 31.47 | +12.5% |
| 95% | 37.96 | +35.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (29.37) | 38% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (30.77) | 20% |
| Down 5% or more (26.57) | 14% |
| Down 10% or more (25.17) | 5.9% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 5.9%, 0.3× the 22% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.