HQ
Horizon Quantum Holdings Ltd.Closed15.18−0.32 −2.06%USD
NasdaqCM · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 15.94 +5.01%
Open
15.48
Prev close
15.50
Day range
14.5615.83
52-week range
8.2945.00
Volume
88.14K0.26×
Mkt cap
819.30M
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-30.36
EPS ttm
-0.3700
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
—
From 52w high
−66.27%
HQ market-implied price distribution
HQ Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 121.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
40%
spot 15.18
Expected price
14.77
forward 14.82
68% range
9–20
−41.4% / +30.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 5.67 | −62.6% |
| 16% | 8.89 | −41.4% |
| 25% | 10.67 | −29.7% |
| 50% (median) | 13.89 | −8.5% |
| 75% | 17.50 | +15.3% |
| 84% | 19.76 | +30.2% |
| 95% | 27.78 | +83.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (15.94) | 34% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (16.70) | 29% |
| Down 5% or more (14.42) | 54% |
| Down 10% or more (13.66) | 48% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 48%, 1.0× the 49% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.