HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.Open110.85+1.63 +1.49%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 14:52 ET · 15m delay
Open
108.79
Prev close
109.22
Day range
108.50111.99
52-week range
63.52150.47
Volume
11.89M0.57×
Mkt cap
99.66B
P/E ttm
48.83
Fwd P/E
32.34
EPS ttm
2.27
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Oct 27, 2026
From 52w high
−26.33%
HOOD market-implied price distribution
HOOD Price at Expiry
53 OTM quotes · ATM IV 65.6%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 110.85
Expected price
111.62
forward 111.39
68% range
91–132
−17.9% / +18.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 79.25 | −28.5% |
| 16% | 91.00 | −17.9% |
| 25% | 96.77 | −12.7% |
| 50% (median) | 109.47 | −1.2% |
| 75% | 123.77 | +11.7% |
| 84% | 131.54 | +18.7% |
| 95% | 150.93 | +36.2% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (116.39) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (121.94) | 28% |
| Down 5% or more (105.31) | 42% |
| Down 10% or more (99.77) | 30% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 30%, 1.0× the 32% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.