HIMS
Hims & Hers Health, Inc.After hours29.71−0.93 −3.04%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 29.68 −0.10%
Open
29.83
Prev close
30.64
Day range
28.7230.38
52-week range
13.7465.30
Volume
9.75M0.81×
Mkt cap
6.93B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
40.30
EPS ttm
-0.6400
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Nov 9, 2026
From 52w high
−54.50%
HIMS market-implied price distribution
HIMS Price at Expiry
21 OTM quotes · ATM IV 86.1%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
43%
spot 29.71
Expected price
29.86
forward 29.71
68% range
23–37
−23.5% / +24.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 19.64 | −33.9% |
| 16% | 22.73 | −23.5% |
| 25% | 24.42 | −17.8% |
| 50% (median) | 28.53 | −4.0% |
| 75% | 33.77 | +13.7% |
| 84% | 36.92 | +24.3% |
| 95% | 44.86 | +51.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (31.20) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (32.68) | 29% |
| Down 5% or more (28.22) | 48% |
| Down 10% or more (26.74) | 39% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 39%, 1.0× the 38% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.