HERO
Global X Video Games & Esports Closed27.70+0.14 +0.51%USD
NasdaqGM · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delay
Open
27.72
Prev close
27.56
Day range
27.5527.72
52-week range
23.4633.43
Volume
66.28K3.46×
P/E ttm
17.56
EPS ttm
1.58
Div yield
1.71%
From 52w high
−17.13%
HERO market-implied price distribution
HERO Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 56.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
22%
spot 27.70
Expected price
25.32
forward 25.17
68% range
22–32
−18.9% / +17.0%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 20.34 | −26.6% |
| 16% | 22.45 | −18.9% |
| 25% | 23.63 | −14.7% |
| 50% (median) | 23.99 | −13.4% |
| 75% | 24.07 | −13.1% |
| 84% | 32.40 | +17.0% |
| 95% | 33.49 | +20.9% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (29.09) | 22% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (30.47) | 22% |
| Down 5% or more (26.31) | 78% |
| Down 10% or more (24.93) | 78% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 78%, 1.5× the 51% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.