HELP
Helus Pharma Inc.Pre-market10.50−0.53 −4.81%USD
NasdaqGM · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayPre-market 10.68 +1.71%
Open
11.03
Prev close
11.03
Day range
9.9711.04
52-week range
3.7615.15
Volume
3.16M1.77×
Mkt cap
767.13M
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-5.90
EPS ttm
-4.15
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 14, 2026
From 52w high
−30.69%
HELP market-implied price distribution
HELP Price at Expiry
6 OTM quotes · ATM IV 152.8%
Days to expiry
37
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
45%
spot 10.50
Expected price
10.64
forward 10.85
68% range
5–15
−54.8% / +47.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 3.11 | −70.4% |
| 16% | 4.75 | −54.8% |
| 25% | 6.68 | −36.4% |
| 50% (median) | 9.88 | −5.9% |
| 75% | 13.45 | +28.1% |
| 84% | 15.45 | +47.1% |
| 95% | 21.31 | +102.9% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (11.03) | 41% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (11.55) | 37% |
| Down 5% or more (9.98) | 51% |
| Down 10% or more (9.45) | 46% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 46%, 1.0× the 48% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.