HAS
Hasbro, Inc.Pre-market94.73+1.41 +1.51%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 15m delay
Open
93.27
Prev close
93.32
Day range
93.1694.96
52-week range
69.50106.98
Volume
1.24M0.67×
Mkt cap
13.36B
P/E ttm
17.19
Fwd P/E
14.57
EPS ttm
5.51
Div yield
2.96%
Earnings
Oct 20, 2026
From 52w high
−11.45%
HAS market-implied price distribution
HAS Price at Expiry
14 OTM quotes · ATM IV 34.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
34%
spot 94.73
Expected price
92.45
forward 91.84
68% range
81–103
−14.9% / +8.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 73.34 | −22.6% |
| 16% | 80.61 | −14.9% |
| 25% | 83.68 | −11.7% |
| 50% (median) | 90.18 | −4.8% |
| 75% | 97.89 | +3.3% |
| 84% | 102.63 | +8.3% |
| 95% | 119.45 | +26.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (99.47) | 22% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (104.20) | 14% |
| Down 5% or more (89.99) | 49% |
| Down 10% or more (85.26) | 31% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 31%, 1.1× the 27% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.