GS
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The)Pre-market893.95−1.37 −0.15%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delayPre-market 903.01 +1.01%
Open
898.39
Prev close
895.32
Day range
887.79902.29
52-week range
740.011,153.99
Volume
2.10M1.03×
Mkt cap
260.29B
P/E ttm
13.78
Fwd P/E
12.39
EPS ttm
64.85
Div yield
2.24%
Earnings
Oct 13, 2026
From 52w high
−22.53%
GS market-implied price distribution
GS Price at Expiry
59 OTM quotes · ATM IV 33.2%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
51%
spot 893.95
Expected price
896.32
forward 896.82
68% range
810–982
−9.4% / +9.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 746.16 | −16.5% |
| 16% | 810.29 | −9.4% |
| 25% | 838.55 | −6.2% |
| 50% (median) | 895.65 | +0.2% |
| 75% | 953.43 | +6.7% |
| 84% | 982.49 | +9.9% |
| 95% | 1,049.11 | +17.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (938.65) | 31% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (983.35) | 16% |
| Down 5% or more (849.25) | 29% |
| Down 10% or more (804.56) | 15% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 15%, 1.0× the 14% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.