GLXY
Galaxy Digital Inc.Open19.45−0.42 −2.11%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 14:52 ET · 15m delay
Open
19.92
Prev close
19.87
Day range
18.9920.01
52-week range
16.4345.92
Volume
4.38M0.76×
Mkt cap
11.46B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-59.35
EPS ttm
-0.8500
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−57.64%
GLXY market-implied price distribution
GLXY Price at Expiry
14 OTM quotes · ATM IV 79.6%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
42%
spot 19.45
Expected price
19.66
forward 19.20
68% range
15–23
−23.0% / +20.0%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 12.87 | −33.8% |
| 16% | 14.97 | −23.0% |
| 25% | 16.13 | −17.1% |
| 50% (median) | 18.69 | −3.9% |
| 75% | 21.51 | +10.6% |
| 84% | 23.34 | +20.0% |
| 95% | 32.22 | +65.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (20.42) | 33% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (21.40) | 26% |
| Down 5% or more (18.48) | 48% |
| Down 10% or more (17.51) | 37% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 37%, 0.9× the 39% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.