GL
Globe Life Inc.Pre-market165.12+0.95 +0.58%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delay
Open
165.01
Prev close
164.17
Day range
164.52166.64
52-week range
127.85191.55
Volume
266.08K0.50×
Mkt cap
12.69B
P/E ttm
11.02
Fwd P/E
10.01
EPS ttm
14.98
Div yield
0.80%
Earnings
Oct 21, 2026
From 52w high
−13.80%
GL market-implied price distribution
GL Price at Expiry
26 OTM quotes · ATM IV 28.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
64%
spot 165.12
Expected price
169.56
forward 166.99
68% range
155–182
−6.0% / +10.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 140.79 | −14.7% |
| 16% | 155.20 | −6.0% |
| 25% | 160.53 | −2.8% |
| 50% (median) | 169.83 | +2.9% |
| 75% | 178.22 | +7.9% |
| 84% | 182.47 | +10.5% |
| 95% | 194.37 | +17.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (173.38) | 39% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (181.63) | 18% |
| Down 5% or more (156.86) | 18% |
| Down 10% or more (148.61) | 9.2% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 9.2%, 0.8× the 11% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.