GKOS
Glaukos CorporationOpen165.70−2.32 −1.38%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 10:18 ET · 20m delay
Open
169.53
Prev close
168.02
Day range
164.99171.22
52-week range
73.16191.62
Volume
41.12K0.05×
Mkt cap
9.77B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
316.02
EPS ttm
-3.26
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Oct 28, 2026
From 52w high
−13.53%
GKOS market-implied price distribution
GKOS Price at Expiry
26 OTM quotes · ATM IV 67.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
50%
spot 165.70
Expected price
166.84
forward 167.66
68% range
131–202
−21.2% / +21.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 98.38 | −40.6% |
| 16% | 130.65 | −21.2% |
| 25% | 142.44 | −14.0% |
| 50% (median) | 165.55 | −0.1% |
| 75% | 189.39 | +14.3% |
| 84% | 201.96 | +21.9% |
| 95% | 233.82 | +41.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (173.98) | 40% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (182.27) | 32% |
| Down 5% or more (157.42) | 41% |
| Down 10% or more (149.13) | 31% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 31%, 0.9× the 33% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.