GIL
Gildan Activewear, Inc.Pre-market42.16+0.19 +0.45%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delay
Open
41.81
Prev close
41.97
Day range
41.3542.38
52-week range
39.9373.70
Volume
646.07K0.42×
Mkt cap
7.81B
P/E ttm
32.18
Fwd P/E
7.75
EPS ttm
1.31
Div yield
2.36%
Earnings
Jul 30, 2026
From 52w high
−42.80%
GIL market-implied price distribution
GIL Price at Expiry
14 OTM quotes · ATM IV 49.0%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 42.16
Expected price
42.47
forward 42.45
68% range
36–49
−15.8% / +15.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 29.06 | −31.1% |
| 16% | 35.50 | −15.8% |
| 25% | 37.73 | −10.5% |
| 50% (median) | 41.90 | −0.6% |
| 75% | 46.28 | +9.8% |
| 84% | 48.76 | +15.6% |
| 95% | 56.48 | +34.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (44.27) | 35% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (46.38) | 25% |
| Down 5% or more (40.05) | 38% |
| Down 10% or more (37.94) | 26% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 26%, 1.0× the 27% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.