GGAL
Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A.Open36.88+0.10 +0.27%USD
NasdaqCM · as of Oct 13, 15:50 ET · 15m delay
Open
36.57
Prev close
36.78
Day range
36.5737.63
52-week range
31.1462.52
Volume
704.20K0.81×
Mkt cap
6.25B
P/E ttm
41.44
Fwd P/E
5.22
EPS ttm
0.8900
Div yield
4.21%
Earnings
Aug 25, 2026
From 52w high
−41.01%
GGAL market-implied price distribution
GGAL Price at Expiry
18 OTM quotes · ATM IV 48.0%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 36.88
Expected price
37.05
forward 37.07
68% range
31–42
−15.2% / +14.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 27.49 | −25.5% |
| 16% | 31.27 | −15.2% |
| 25% | 33.14 | −10.1% |
| 50% (median) | 36.68 | −0.5% |
| 75% | 40.34 | +9.4% |
| 84% | 42.30 | +14.7% |
| 95% | 47.57 | +29.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (38.72) | 35% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (40.57) | 24% |
| Down 5% or more (35.04) | 38% |
| Down 10% or more (33.19) | 25% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 25%, 1.0× the 26% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.