GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc.Open47.10−1.24 −2.57%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 10:18 ET · 15m delay
Open
47.04
Prev close
48.34
Day range
46.8548.44
52-week range
32.0292.55
Volume
554.01K0.13×
Mkt cap
26.25B
P/E ttm
36.80
Fwd P/E
17.94
EPS ttm
1.28
Div yield
0.99%
Earnings
Nov 4, 2026
From 52w high
−49.11%
GFS market-implied price distribution
GFS Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 61.8%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 47.08
Expected price
47.76
forward 47.69
68% range
39–57
−18.2% / +20.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 32.73 | −30.5% |
| 16% | 38.50 | −18.2% |
| 25% | 41.14 | −12.6% |
| 50% (median) | 46.80 | −0.6% |
| 75% | 53.22 | +13.0% |
| 84% | 56.83 | +20.7% |
| 95% | 66.69 | +41.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (49.43) | 39% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (51.78) | 30% |
| Down 5% or more (44.72) | 40% |
| Down 10% or more (42.37) | 30% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 30%, 1.0× the 31% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.