GDS
GDS Holdings LimitedAfter hours29.60−0.79 −2.60%USD
NasdaqGM · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 29.60 0.00%
Open
30.13
Prev close
30.39
Day range
29.4430.35
52-week range
26.9748.61
Volume
3.26M2.00×
Mkt cap
5.93B
P/E ttm
13.77
Fwd P/E
4712.01
EPS ttm
2.15
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 13, 2026
From 52w high
−39.11%
GDS market-implied price distribution
GDS Price at Expiry
23 OTM quotes · ATM IV 65.9%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
46%
spot 29.60
Expected price
30.25
forward 29.91
68% range
24–36
−20.0% / +20.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 20.04 | −32.3% |
| 16% | 23.67 | −20.0% |
| 25% | 25.51 | −13.8% |
| 50% (median) | 29.09 | −1.7% |
| 75% | 33.14 | +11.9% |
| 84% | 35.62 | +20.3% |
| 95% | 45.23 | +52.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (31.08) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (32.56) | 28% |
| Down 5% or more (28.12) | 43% |
| Down 10% or more (26.64) | 32% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 32%, 1.0× the 33% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.