FUL
H. B. Fuller CompanyOpen49.62+0.28 +0.58%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 10:17 ET · 20m delay
Open
49.59
Prev close
49.33
Day range
49.3149.89
52-week range
46.7068.63
Volume
33.70K0.04×
Mkt cap
2.67B
P/E ttm
13.82
Fwd P/E
9.58
EPS ttm
3.59
Div yield
1.99%
Earnings
Sep 23, 2026
From 52w high
−27.71%
FUL market-implied price distribution
FUL Price at Expiry
9 OTM quotes · ATM IV 34.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
44%
spot 49.62
Expected price
49.73
forward 49.73
68% range
45–54
−9.7% / +8.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 29.69 | −40.2% |
| 16% | 44.78 | −9.7% |
| 25% | 46.38 | −6.5% |
| 50% (median) | 49.06 | −1.1% |
| 75% | 51.98 | +4.8% |
| 84% | 53.92 | +8.7% |
| 95% | 68.99 | +39.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (52.10) | 24% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (54.58) | 14% |
| Down 5% or more (47.13) | 31% |
| Down 10% or more (44.65) | 15% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 15%, 0.9× the 18% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.