FSV
FirstService CorporationPre-market129.58−0.15 −0.12%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 15m delay
Open
129.84
Prev close
129.73
Day range
128.75130.22
52-week range
119.41189.05
Volume
59.23K0.29×
Mkt cap
5.66B
P/E ttm
36.81
Fwd P/E
19.36
EPS ttm
3.52
Div yield
0.94%
Earnings
Oct 22, 2026
From 52w high
−31.46%
FSV market-implied price distribution
FSV Price at Expiry
10 OTM quotes · ATM IV 64.3%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
63%
spot 129.58
Expected price
138.68
forward 139.24
68% range
110–167
−15.5% / +28.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 94.77 | −26.9% |
| 16% | 109.54 | −15.5% |
| 25% | 117.67 | −9.2% |
| 50% (median) | 139.15 | +7.4% |
| 75% | 158.07 | +22.0% |
| 84% | 166.58 | +28.6% |
| 95% | 180.38 | +39.2% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (136.06) | 54% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (142.54) | 45% |
| Down 5% or more (123.10) | 30% |
| Down 10% or more (116.62) | 24% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 24%, 1.0× the 23% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.