FPS
Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.Pre-market37.09−2.94 −7.34%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delayPre-market 36.94 −0.40%
Open
40.00
Prev close
40.03
Day range
37.0240.09
52-week range
25.9566.00
Volume
6.04M0.71×
Mkt cap
11.83B
P/E ttm
115.91
Fwd P/E
18.38
EPS ttm
0.3200
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Sep 15, 2026
From 52w high
−43.80%
FPS market-implied price distribution
FPS Price at Expiry
18 OTM quotes · ATM IV 76.9%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 37.09
Expected price
37.73
forward 37.66
68% range
29–46
−22.2% / +24.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 23.18 | −37.5% |
| 16% | 28.86 | −22.2% |
| 25% | 31.39 | −15.4% |
| 50% (median) | 36.76 | −0.9% |
| 75% | 42.80 | +15.4% |
| 84% | 46.19 | +24.5% |
| 95% | 55.51 | +49.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (38.94) | 40% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (40.80) | 32% |
| Down 5% or more (35.24) | 43% |
| Down 10% or more (33.38) | 34% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 34%, 0.9× the 36% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.