FORM
FormFactor, Inc.Pre-market130.28−9.39 −6.72%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 15m delayPre-market 131.30 +0.78%
Open
136.86
Prev close
139.67
Day range
129.51136.86
52-week range
38.12160.27
Volume
1.24M0.85×
Mkt cap
10.18B
P/E ttm
89.85
Fwd P/E
34.40
EPS ttm
1.45
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Oct 28, 2026
From 52w high
−18.71%
FORM market-implied price distribution
FORM Price at Expiry
28 OTM quotes · ATM IV 78.8%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
44%
spot 130.28
Expected price
132.90
forward 131.24
68% range
100–162
−23.1% / +24.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 81.94 | −37.1% |
| 16% | 100.21 | −23.1% |
| 25% | 108.21 | −16.9% |
| 50% (median) | 125.85 | −3.4% |
| 75% | 148.00 | +13.6% |
| 84% | 162.45 | +24.7% |
| 95% | 218.08 | +67.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (136.79) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (143.31) | 29% |
| Down 5% or more (123.77) | 47% |
| Down 10% or more (117.25) | 38% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 38%, 1.0× the 38% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.