FN
FabrinetPre-market456.40−29.88 −6.14%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delayPre-market 455.00 −0.31%
Open
478.68
Prev close
486.28
Day range
445.29478.68
52-week range
366.49748.89
Volume
1.05M1.19×
Mkt cap
16.36B
P/E ttm
32.83
Fwd P/E
20.95
EPS ttm
13.90
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 17, 2026
From 52w high
−39.06%
FN market-implied price distribution
FN Price at Expiry
60 OTM quotes · ATM IV 73.3%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
44%
spot 456.40
Expected price
461.20
forward 457.59
68% range
350–563
−23.3% / +23.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 293.44 | −35.7% |
| 16% | 349.92 | −23.3% |
| 25% | 377.57 | −17.3% |
| 50% (median) | 440.36 | −3.5% |
| 75% | 517.05 | +13.3% |
| 84% | 562.92 | +23.3% |
| 95% | 701.72 | +53.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (479.22) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (502.04) | 29% |
| Down 5% or more (433.58) | 47% |
| Down 10% or more (410.76) | 38% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 38%, 1.0× the 37% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.