FLKR
Franklin FTSE South Korea ETFClosed54.89−1.14 −2.03%USD
NYSEArca · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ETAfter hours 54.79 −0.18%
Open
53.89
Prev close
56.03
Day range
53.8354.94
52-week range
28.3372.49
Volume
703.70K0.90×
P/E ttm
9.29
EPS ttm
5.91
Div yield
2.44%
From 52w high
−24.28%
FLKR market-implied price distribution
FLKR Price at Expiry
13 OTM quotes · ATM IV 27.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
45%
spot 54.89
Expected price
55.61
forward 55.12
68% range
50–59
−8.7% / +6.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 45.99 | −16.2% |
| 16% | 50.13 | −8.7% |
| 25% | 52.03 | −5.2% |
| 50% (median) | 54.45 | −0.8% |
| 75% | 56.87 | +3.6% |
| 84% | 58.60 | +6.8% |
| 95% | 77.18 | +40.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (57.63) | 20% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (60.38) | 12% |
| Down 5% or more (52.15) | 26% |
| Down 10% or more (49.40) | 14% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 14%, 1.2× the 12% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.