FLJP
Franklin FTSE Japan ETFClosed41.410.00 0.00%USD
NYSEArca · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ETAfter hours 41.41 0.00%
Open
41.42
Prev close
41.41
Day range
41.2841.48
52-week range
34.0242.43
Volume
689.70K0.84×
P/E ttm
15.47
EPS ttm
2.68
Div yield
4.05%
From 52w high
−2.39%
FLJP market-implied price distribution
FLJP Price at Expiry
9 OTM quotes · ATM IV 41.9%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
86%
spot 41.41
Expected price
41.80
forward 41.58
68% range
44–45
+6.7% / +7.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 23.41 | −43.5% |
| 16% | 44.18 | +6.7% |
| 25% | 44.38 | +7.2% |
| 50% (median) | 44.46 | +7.4% |
| 75% | 44.52 | +7.5% |
| 84% | 44.55 | +7.6% |
| 95% | 45.70 | +10.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (43.48) | 86% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (45.55) | 5.6% |
| Down 5% or more (39.34) | 14% |
| Down 10% or more (37.27) | 14% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 14%, 0.6× the 23% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.