FIG
Figma, Inc.Open22.19+0.23 +1.02%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 14:52 ET · 20m delay
Open
22.09
Prev close
21.96
Day range
21.7623.05
52-week range
16.6067.68
Volume
8.46M0.50×
Mkt cap
11.82B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
64.35
EPS ttm
-3.23
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−67.22%
FIG market-implied price distribution
FIG Price at Expiry
28 OTM quotes · ATM IV 83.1%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
44%
spot 22.19
Expected price
22.20
forward 22.19
68% range
17–27
−23.0% / +22.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 14.81 | −33.3% |
| 16% | 17.09 | −23.0% |
| 25% | 18.38 | −17.2% |
| 50% (median) | 21.48 | −3.2% |
| 75% | 25.21 | +13.6% |
| 84% | 27.26 | +22.9% |
| 95% | 32.25 | +45.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (23.29) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (24.40) | 29% |
| Down 5% or more (21.08) | 47% |
| Down 10% or more (19.97) | 38% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 38%, 1.0× the 38% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.