FET
Forum Energy Technologies, Inc.Closed85.04−0.68 −0.79%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 84.00 −1.22%
Open
86.51
Prev close
85.72
Day range
84.4888.49
52-week range
26.0089.93
Volume
198.43K1.03×
Mkt cap
975.64M
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
17.15
EPS ttm
-0.1600
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Oct 29, 2026
From 52w high
−5.44%
FET market-implied price distribution
FET Price at Expiry
15 OTM quotes · ATM IV 50.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 85.04
Expected price
85.20
forward 85.40
68% range
68–102
−20.3% / +19.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 53.02 | −37.7% |
| 16% | 67.76 | −20.3% |
| 25% | 73.33 | −13.8% |
| 50% (median) | 84.06 | −1.2% |
| 75% | 95.35 | +12.1% |
| 84% | 101.59 | +19.5% |
| 95% | 119.43 | +40.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (89.29) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (93.54) | 28% |
| Down 5% or more (80.79) | 42% |
| Down 10% or more (76.54) | 32% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 32%, 1.1× the 28% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.