FCFS
FirstCash Holdings, Inc.Pre-market216.20+2.50 +1.17%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 15m delay
Open
213.70
Prev close
213.70
Day range
212.50218.94
52-week range
146.77238.93
Volume
272.21K0.66×
Mkt cap
9.38B
P/E ttm
24.60
Fwd P/E
16.66
EPS ttm
8.79
Div yield
0.78%
Earnings
Jul 23, 2026
From 52w high
−9.51%
FCFS market-implied price distribution
FCFS Price at Expiry
12 OTM quotes · ATM IV 43.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 216.20
Expected price
211.50
forward 213.93
68% range
180–240
−16.6% / +11.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 150.28 | −30.5% |
| 16% | 180.23 | −16.6% |
| 25% | 193.94 | −10.3% |
| 50% (median) | 214.43 | −0.8% |
| 75% | 231.91 | +7.3% |
| 84% | 240.50 | +11.2% |
| 95% | 262.70 | +21.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (227.01) | 31% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (237.82) | 18% |
| Down 5% or more (205.39) | 37% |
| Down 10% or more (194.58) | 26% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 26%, 0.9× the 27% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.