EVR
Evercore Inc.Open264.22−8.00 −2.94%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 13:45 ET · 20m delay
Open
274.48
Prev close
272.22
Day range
263.50274.67
52-week range
251.13388.71
Volume
208.56K0.40×
Mkt cap
10.16B
P/E ttm
14.88
Fwd P/E
12.47
EPS ttm
17.76
Div yield
1.31%
Earnings
Jul 29, 2026
From 52w high
−32.03%
EVR market-implied price distribution
EVR Price at Expiry
30 OTM quotes · ATM IV 40.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
50%
spot 264.22
Expected price
265.04
forward 266.08
68% range
233–294
−11.7% / +11.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 157.63 | −40.3% |
| 16% | 233.25 | −11.7% |
| 25% | 245.01 | −7.3% |
| 50% (median) | 264.19 | −0.0% |
| 75% | 283.01 | +7.1% |
| 84% | 293.75 | +11.2% |
| 95% | 330.16 | +25.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (277.43) | 31% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (290.64) | 18% |
| Down 5% or more (251.01) | 32% |
| Down 10% or more (237.80) | 19% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 19%, 0.9× the 21% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.