EPC
Edgewell Personal Care CompanyOpen28.41+0.11 +0.41%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 12:41 ET · 20m delay
Open
28.71
Prev close
28.29
Day range
28.0828.82
52-week range
15.7329.95
Volume
104.09K0.18×
Mkt cap
1.31B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
14.17
EPS ttm
-0.9200
Div yield
2.12%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−5.16%
EPC market-implied price distribution
EPC Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 55.3%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
60%
spot 28.41
Expected price
29.05
forward 29.06
68% range
25–33
−13.1% / +17.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 13.19 | −53.6% |
| 16% | 24.69 | −13.1% |
| 25% | 26.70 | −6.0% |
| 50% (median) | 29.27 | +3.0% |
| 75% | 31.65 | +11.4% |
| 84% | 33.27 | +17.1% |
| 95% | 42.83 | +50.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (29.83) | 43% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (31.25) | 28% |
| Down 5% or more (26.98) | 27% |
| Down 10% or more (25.56) | 19% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 19%, 0.7× the 27% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.