EPAM
EPAM Systems, Inc.After hours115.50+2.46 +2.18%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 115.27 −0.20%
Open
114.18
Prev close
113.04
Day range
114.25117.48
52-week range
73.06222.53
Volume
730.73K0.56×
Mkt cap
5.96B
P/E ttm
15.67
Fwd P/E
8.23
EPS ttm
7.37
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Nov 5, 2026
From 52w high
−48.10%
EPAM market-implied price distribution
EPAM Price at Expiry
22 OTM quotes · ATM IV 58.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 115.50
Expected price
115.65
forward 115.98
68% range
94–137
−18.5% / +18.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 77.00 | −33.3% |
| 16% | 94.12 | −18.5% |
| 25% | 100.98 | −12.6% |
| 50% (median) | 114.72 | −0.7% |
| 75% | 129.05 | +11.7% |
| 84% | 136.63 | +18.3% |
| 95% | 155.63 | +34.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (121.28) | 38% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (127.05) | 28% |
| Down 5% or more (109.73) | 40% |
| Down 10% or more (103.95) | 30% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 30%, 1.0× the 31% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.