ENLT
Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.After hours70.44+1.74 +2.53%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 70.44 0.00%
Open
70.60
Prev close
68.70
Day range
69.3870.99
52-week range
32.75108.65
Volume
263.97K1.42×
Mkt cap
9.85B
P/E ttm
115.48
Fwd P/E
18.39
EPS ttm
0.6100
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Nov 3, 2026
From 52w high
−35.17%
ENLT market-implied price distribution
ENLT Price at Expiry
19 OTM quotes · ATM IV 52.3%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
50%
spot 70.44
Expected price
71.11
forward 70.57
68% range
59–81
−15.8% / +15.0%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 34.04 | −51.7% |
| 16% | 59.30 | −15.8% |
| 25% | 63.61 | −9.7% |
| 50% (median) | 70.49 | +0.1% |
| 75% | 77.15 | +9.5% |
| 84% | 81.01 | +15.0% |
| 95% | 97.09 | +37.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (73.96) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (77.48) | 24% |
| Down 5% or more (66.92) | 36% |
| Down 10% or more (63.40) | 24% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 24%, 0.8× the 29% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.