EHC
Encompass Health CorporationOpen124.99+0.57 +0.46%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 15:50 ET · 20m delay
Open
125.32
Prev close
124.42
Day range
123.67125.07
52-week range
92.77127.99
Volume
396.98K0.44×
Mkt cap
12.33B
P/E ttm
20.90
Fwd P/E
18.72
EPS ttm
5.98
Div yield
0.68%
Earnings
Oct 28, 2026
From 52w high
−2.34%
EHC market-implied price distribution
EHC Price at Expiry
6 OTM quotes · ATM IV 33.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
51%
spot 124.99
Expected price
125.60
forward 125.52
68% range
112–138
−10.8% / +10.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 103.14 | −17.5% |
| 16% | 111.55 | −10.8% |
| 25% | 116.65 | −6.7% |
| 50% (median) | 125.34 | +0.3% |
| 75% | 133.39 | +6.7% |
| 84% | 137.68 | +10.2% |
| 95% | 150.69 | +20.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (131.24) | 31% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (137.49) | 16% |
| Down 5% or more (118.74) | 30% |
| Down 10% or more (112.49) | 18% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 18%, 1.1× the 17% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.