E
ENI S.p.A.Open57.39+0.62 +1.09%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 14:49 ET · 20m delay
Open
57.20
Prev close
56.77
Day range
57.0757.47
52-week range
34.0358.00
Volume
162.02K0.45×
Mkt cap
82.18B
P/E ttm
20.00
Fwd P/E
8.83
EPS ttm
2.87
Div yield
4.30%
Earnings
Oct 23, 2026
From 52w high
−1.05%
E market-implied price distribution
E Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 31.6%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
75%
spot 57.39
Expected price
57.57
forward 57.63
68% range
53–63
−6.9% / +10.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 32.19 | −43.9% |
| 16% | 53.45 | −6.9% |
| 25% | 57.37 | −0.0% |
| 50% (median) | 61.09 | +6.4% |
| 75% | 62.81 | +9.5% |
| 84% | 63.33 | +10.3% |
| 95% | 64.05 | +11.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (60.26) | 58% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (63.13) | 19% |
| Down 5% or more (54.52) | 18% |
| Down 10% or more (51.65) | 14% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 14%, 0.9× the 15% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.